Success Tips

Dave Nevison's top tips for Friday: Paradise can battle to success at Newmarket – Racing TV

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I love betting in big field handicaps at this time of year as the possibility of collecting a big pay-out is definitely there.

My approach is to go with horses who might be fresher than their rivals and have shown decent form on their previous start.

There will be shocks a plenty between now and the end of the season but backing a horse who did not run well recently at this time of year is simply a guess as it is highly possible they have had enough for the year.

I will be backing all three of my selections each-way on Friday and I will definitely be combining them in a multiple. Best of luck.

2.40 York: Alemaratalyoum

The 7lb that this horse has been raised is almost negated by a really useful 5lb claimer in Marco Ghiani, so I believe he should be backed to follow up his recent victory at Goodwood.

The forecast rain will not be any worry either as conditions were heavy at Goodwood and he coped with the ground fine despite having run 24 hours earlier.

The draw is crucial over a mile at York and Alermaratalyoum look favourably drawn in stall 3 so he can see off a battalion of David O’Meara runners.

4.10 Newmarket: Battle Of Paradise

I have a strong feeling that Sir Mark Prescott might finally win the Cesarewitch this year and winning this valuable handicap might make him think about following up in 2020!

Battle Of Paradise is straight out of central casting for a typical Prescott stayer. Three runs so far – all on the all-weather – have yielded two places and a victory last time out plus a handicap mark of 78.

He is unproven on the ground but his sire won twice on soft, which is encouraging. Luke Morris has only ridden 21 times off 8st over the past five years and has won on six of them providing a huge profit for punters.

5.30 York: Jabalaly

Jabalaly is another who has improved recently on the all-weather and another who has been done a favour with his draw for a York handicap.
Blinkers have brought about improvement in this three-year-old and he will certainly get a race run to suit him in this big field.

He is only 2lb higher than his last turf run so hopefully he is able to carry his recent form over. Ed Dunlop is in good form and this unexposed type could improve past seasoned handicappers.

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